Beta-2-microglobulin is superior to N-acetyl-beta-glucosaminidase in predicting prognosis in idiopathic membranous nephropathy.

An accurate prediction of prognosis in patients with idiopathic membranous nephropathy (iMN) would allow restriction of immunosuppressive treatment to patients who are at highest risk for end-stage renal disease (ESRD). Several markers of proximal tubular cell injury have been used as predictors of prognosis. In this study we compared the accuracy of urinary beta-2-microglobulin (U beta 2m) and N-acetyl-beta-glucosaminidase (U beta-NAG) in predicting renal insufficiency and remission rates. Fifty-seven patients with iMN (38 M, 19 F; age 48 +/- 16 years), a nephrotic syndrome and a serum creatinine level <135 micromol/l were studied prospectively. At baseline, a standardised measurement was carried out to determine renal function and protein excretion. The end-point renal failure was defined as a serum creatinine exceeding 135 micromol/l or an increase in serum creatinine by >50%. Remission was defined as a proteinuria <2.0 g/day with stable renal function. The mean follow-up was 80 +/- 36 months. The mean serum creatinine concentration was 89 +/- 20 micromol/l, serum albumin 24 +/- 5.3 g/l and proteinuria 8.9 +/- 4.8 g/24 h. Thus far, 28 (49%) patients have reached the predefined end point of renal failure. Multivariate analysis identified U beta 2m as the strongest independent predictor for the development of renal insufficiency. Sensitivity and specificity were 81 and 90% respectively for U beta 2m (threshold value 54 microg/mmol cr), and 74 and 81% respectively for U beta-NAG (threshold value 2.64 U/mmol cr). The overall remission rate was 44%. A remission occurred in 78% of patients with low U beta 2m and in 14% of patients with high U beta 2m, and respectively in 71% of patients with low U beta-NAG and 21% of patients with high U beta-NAG. Although both U beta 2m and U beta-NAG predicted progression and remission in iMN, U beta 2m was more accurate. High specificity in predicting prognosis should be pursued to avoid unnecessary immunosuppressive therapy. We therefore conclude that U beta 2m is superior to U beta-NAG in predicting prognosis in patients with iMN.