Characterization of cell-fate decision landscapes by estimating transcription factor dynamics.

Time-specific modulation of gene expression during differentiation by transcription factors promotes cell diversity. However, estimating their dynamic regulatory activity at the single-cell level and in a high-throughput manner remains challenging. We present FateCompass, an integrative approach that utilizes single-cell transcriptomics data to identify lineage-specific transcription factors throughout differentiation. By combining a probabilistic framework with RNA velocities or differentiation potential, we estimate transition probabilities, while a linear model of gene regulation is employed to compute transcription factor activities. Considering dynamic changes and correlations of expression and activities, FateCompass identifies lineage-specific regulators. Our validation using in silico data and application to pancreatic endocrine cell differentiation datasets highlight both known and potentially novel lineage-specific regulators. Notably, we uncovered undescribed transcription factors of an enterochromaffin-like population during in vitro differentiation toward ß-like cells. FateCompass provides a valuable framework for hypothesis generation, advancing our understanding of the gene regulatory networks driving cell-fate decisions.